Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.050277 0.058586 0.067708 0.078448 0.090730 0.104316 0.120463
2025-05-18 0.036839 0.047460 0.060198 0.076530 0.096833 0.121158 0.152416
2025-05-25 0.028100 0.039592 0.054495 0.075075 0.102565 0.137802 0.186134
2025-06-01 0.022645 0.034567 0.051139 0.075562 0.110276 0.157418 0.225751
2025-06-08 0.018000 0.029602 0.046796 0.073685 0.114111 0.171918 0.259905
2025-06-15 0.015827 0.027788 0.046530 0.077383 0.126047 0.198740 0.314020
2025-06-22 0.013348 0.024965 0.044170 0.077365 0.132145 0.217388 0.357821
2025-06-29 0.011030 0.021937 0.040923 0.075308 0.134538 0.230318 0.393838
2025-07-06 0.009341 0.019683 0.038579 0.074316 0.138356 0.245620 0.434775
2025-07-13 0.008624 0.019113 0.039097 0.078330 0.151048 0.276543 0.503989
2025-07-20 0.007852 0.018281 0.038979 0.081105 0.161756 0.304966 0.571355
2025-07-27 0.006688 0.016410 0.036557 0.079144 0.163485 0.317746 0.612510
2025-08-03 0.005796 0.014983 0.034853 0.078448 0.167690 0.335677 0.665115
2025-08-10 0.004902 0.013373 0.032512 0.076125 0.168433 0.347281 0.707245
2025-08-17 0.004199 0.012071 0.030626 0.074474 0.170288 0.361089 0.754656
2025-08-24 0.003734 0.011270 0.029735 0.074852 0.176340 0.383522 0.820441
2025-08-31 0.003200 0.010166 0.027949 0.072938 0.177238 0.395692 0.866999
2025-09-07 0.003030 0.010033 0.028511 0.076575 0.190706 0.434655 0.970510
2025-09-14 0.002699 0.009362 0.027603 0.076543 0.195877 0.456723 1.041114
2025-09-21 0.002325 0.008474 0.025979 0.074498 0.196138 0.468299 1.090664
2025-09-28 0.002043 0.007808 0.024837 0.073513 0.198770 0.485202 1.152828
2025-10-05 0.001967 0.007802 0.025544 0.077484 0.213867 0.531026 1.281196
2025-10-12 0.001853 0.007644 0.025786 0.080231 0.226196 0.571559 1.400819